Current community forecast
No 93.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 26, 7:13 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Codename: SSITOP
- Resolves YES if a model produced by Safe Superintelligence (SSI), released before January 1, 2028, holds the #1 general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score at any moment.
- Even briefly holding first place counts.
- Epoch’s displayed central general-ECI estimates control; confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not.
- The qualifying score must appear by April 30, 2028.
- If Epoch disappears, MNX will use the closest credible successor ranking.
Open markets
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo+1.0pt11.2%
- Los Angeles R11.2%
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+29 more outcomes
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- $8M
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- Darya Astakhova99%
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- $2.6M
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- Los Angeles R+1.0pt72.5%
- New York G+1.0pt27.4%
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- Josh Allen+3.0pt28%
- Brock Purdy+11.0pt17%
- Joe Burrow+4.0pt9%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.1M
POLYMARKETDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?99%
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?76%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Lvlac
- LV+27.0pt53.9%
- LAC-26.0pt46.1%
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
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- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- New York G vs Los Angeles R: Spread
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? resolve?
- SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Codename: SSITOP