When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
SpaceOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastBefore Electron is officially retired 7.6%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Apr 10, 24, 2:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)
- Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust
- The launch is not required to be successful
- Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading
- UTC is used for dates
- Please ask if you want anything clarified