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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
Manifold Markets

When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse

SpaceOne-Off6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Before July 2024 0%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters

7

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Apr 10, 24, 2:16 PMJan 1, 27, 12:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Before July 2024
0%
Manifold Markets
Before October 2024
0%

Selected outcome

Before June 20262%

Rules

Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)

Manifold Markets
  • Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust
  • The launch is not required to be successful
  • Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading
  • UTC is used for dates
  • Please ask if you want anything clarified

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Rules

Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)

Manifold Markets
  • Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust
  • The launch is not required to be successful
  • Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading
  • UTC is used for dates
  • Please ask if you want anything clarified