Current community forecast
Before 2028-07-01 90.8%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 28, 25, 12:27 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill Neutron Launch before Christmas?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 5 2026?
PolymarketRules
Neutron is a partially reusable medium-lift two-stage rocket being developed by Rocket Lab.
- It has been scheduled to launch in 2025, but might slip to the further date.
- This market will be resolved when Neutron rocket launches for the first time.
- For the purposes of this question, "launch" should involve the countdown reaching 0 and the rocket leaving the pad.
- Astra sideways launch would count, but an explosion right on the pad wouldn't.
- I do not bet on my own markets.
