KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2028 77%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26
Liquidity
$15.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 7:38 PM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
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Manifold MarketsHow many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
KalshiRocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026
KalshiRules
If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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- OpenAI-1.8pt9%
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+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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+9 more outcomes
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
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+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt67%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt53%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron?
- Kalshi prices Before 2028 at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron resolve?
- When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027.
- How is When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.