Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 86.6% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026? resolve?

Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [tweet]Judgment will be based on credible reporting.

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,500 or above99%
• $76,250 or above99%
• $76,000 or above99%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$675.5K

24h Vol

$666.5K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

• 65-89+24.5pt81.8%
• 90-114-9.5pt17.2%
• 115-139-5.8pt1%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.3pt15.6%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt15.1%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+0.6pt

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above-1.0pt98.5%
• $71,000 or above98.5%
• $72,000 or above+1.0pt98%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.9pt89.6%
• Anthropic+0.8pt9.4%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

• Denver99.5%
• Miami99.5%
• West Palm Beach99.5%

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