Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before 2300 97.7%Leader of 11 outcomes
Before 2300 97.7%Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 7, 25, 6:36 PM UTCMar 4, 30, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson die of natural causes?
Manifold MarketsWhen will @Bryan_Johnson Die?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Bryan Johnson, age 47 (as of 2024), is a tech entrepreneur known for his extreme anti-aging efforts through his Blueprint Protocol.
- He reportedly spends millions annually on a rigorous regimen of over 100 daily supplements, specialized diet, and extensive medical monitoring aimed at reducing his biological age.
- Johnson claims his biological measurements show the body of a 37-year-old.
- Resolution Criteria
- Market will resolve YES for the earliest applicable timeframe in which Bryan Johnson dies.
- For example, if Johnson dies in 2027, "the named outcome" would resolve YES while "the named outcome" would resolve NO.
