Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 15, 24, 6:14 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?
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PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if, before 2030, Bryan Johnson stops consuming olive oil for 2 months or warns of the dangers of polyunsaturated fats, or the blueprint is updated to exclude olive oil.
- Doesn't count if olive oil is replaced with avocados or something similar.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
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- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
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- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030? resolve?
- Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if, before 2030, Bryan Johnson stops consuming olive oil for 2 months or warns of the dangers of polyunsaturated fats, or the blueprint is updated to exclude olive oil.