Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2030+ 51%Leader of 5 outcomes
2030+ 51%Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 15, 23, 9:18 PM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.