Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2035-2040 44.2%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 27, 25, 4:51 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first year in which Full Dive Virtual Reality (FDVR) technology becomes publicly available for consumer purchase.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from reputable technology companies or authoritative news sources confirming the commercial release of FDVR systems.
- If no such release occurs by December 31, 2030, the market will resolve to "Other."
- Full Dive Virtual Reality (FDVR) refers to an advanced form of virtual reality that aims to provide users with a fully immersive experience, making the virtual environment indistinguishable from reality.
- This involves direct neural interfaces that can simulate all five senses, allowing users to see, hear, touch, taste, and smell within a virtual world.
