KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
KalshiWill Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
KalshiWill Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
KalshiWill Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
KalshiRules
If legislation making cloud seeding for hail suppression or rain enhancement unlawful throughout the state, whether by outright prohibition or by repeal of the authority to permit it, and not merely defunding or restricting it is enacted in North Dakota before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State of North Dakota
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jul 1, 2027-11.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-19.0pt35%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding? resolve?
- Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2027.
- How is Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If legislation making cloud seeding for hail suppression or rain enhancement unlawful throughout the state, whether by outright prohibition or by repeal of the authority to permit it, and not merely defunding or restricting it is enacted in North Dakota before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.