Current community forecast
No Movie by 1 Jan 2036 21.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 9:14 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as the calendar year of the first theatrical or major streaming (Netflix/HBO/Apple) release of a feature-length scripted film primarily based on the April 2026 F-15E shoot-down and rescue in Iran.
- Documentaries and short films do not count.
- If multiple movies are released in different years, the market resolves to the year of the first release.