Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe explosion was intentional 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 25, 3:43 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 3:42 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
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Reference: https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2025/11/2/explosion-longwood/
Open markets
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- No+0.4pt97%
- Yes-0.4pt3%
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- $18.2M
- 24h Vol
- $60.9K
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- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $15.8K
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-1.0pt4%
- Total Vol
- $727.5K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 600061%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2K
KALSHICyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Above 18k99%
- Above 6k99%
- Above 10k99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.7K
- 24h Vol
- $1.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be true of the explosion at Harvard Medical School??
- Manifold Markets prices The explosion was intentional at 100% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does What will be true of the explosion at Harvard Medical School? resolve?
- What will be true of the explosion at Harvard Medical School? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is What will be true of the explosion at Harvard Medical School? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Reference: https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2025/11/2/explosion-longwood/