Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast11-20% 33%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 25, 23, 9:31 PM UTCJun 26, 31, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
I will take the best estimate I can find and try to have the numbers represent the facts at the end of the year.
