US HHS to recommend against long-term use of antidepressants during RFK Jr.'s term
US PoliticsOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 6, 25, 7:23 PM UTCFeb 11, 29, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if the United States Health and Human Services publishes guidance, warnings, or restrictions against using antidepressants for terms longer than 1 year during RFK Jr.'s term as head of HHS.
- Related market on whether they are safe:
- https://manifold.markets/barbarous/antidepressants-are-safe-to-use-up
- Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Inclusive Guidance: Guidance that applies only to longer durations (e.g. restrictions for 5+ years) qualifies as a YES resolution, even if it does not specifically mention restrictions for exactly 1 year.
- Resolution Consistency: The market resolves YES if any published guidance, warnings, or restrictions apply to any term longer than 1 year.
- Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official HHS Guidance Requirement:
