Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 23, 25, 5:46 AM UTCJan 2, 31, 5:40 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the UK have a Land Value Tax that raises over £10Bn inflation adjusted by 2030?
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KalshiRules
Mamdani said he is interested in "property tax reform".
- The georgism subreddit is hopeful that could mean something like LVT.
- Will Mamdani push a change like LVT?
- Will resolve based on news articles pointing out any similarities to any proposal from Mamdani and LVT.
- Any push needs to be more than just a comment from Mamdani.
- There has to be effort into getting a legal change in effect for this to resolve Yes.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $51,05099%
- At least $51,12599%
- At least $51,40099%
+54 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.2K
- 24h Vol
- $56.2K
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-1.6pt48%
- 8,200 or above-5.7pt20%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+5.0pt72%
- Above $4.80-5.0pt58%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt36%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt94%
- Above 0+4.0pt89%
- Above 10,000-1.0pt85%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes99%
- No1%
- Total Vol
- $9.7K
- 24h Vol
- $9.7K
KALSHITexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
- Above 81,000 MW99%
- Above 79,000 MW99%
- Above 80,000 MW99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.5K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
- US Leading Economic Index change in August
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Sweden rate decision in September
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- US retail sales in September
- Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mamdani pushes Land Value Tax-like change in first term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Mamdani pushes Land Value Tax-like change in first term? resolve?
- Mamdani pushes Land Value Tax-like change in first term? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.
- How is Mamdani pushes Land Value Tax-like change in first term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Mamdani said he is interested in "property tax reform".