KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 81,000 MW 99%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.6K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 4:55 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 4:55 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?
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KalshiRules
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 17, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $96.99+42.0pt99%
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $503.1K
- 24h Vol
- $433.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $115.6K
- 24h Vol
- $115.6K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- $97.00 to $97.99+3.0pt17%
- $96.00 to $96.99+10.0pt17%
- $98.00 to $98.99+2.0pt15%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 81,000 MW at 99% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026 resolve?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.