KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $6.50 (94%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 1:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 21, 2026, 12:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above $6.5410%
Above $6.5813%
Above $6.4689%
Above $6.5243%
Above $6.4890%
Above $6.5672%
Above $6.648%
Above $6.622%
Above $6.5094%
Above $6.12Lost
Above $6.06Lost
Above $6.10Lost
Above $6.08Lost
Above $6.34Lost
Above $6.36Lost
Above $6.38Lost
Above $6.40Lost
Above $6.14Lost
Above $6.16Lost
Above $6.18Lost
Above $6.20Lost
Above $6.22Lost
Above $6.24Lost
Above $6.26Lost
Above $6.28Lost
Above $6.30Lost
Above $6.32Lost
Above $6.46Lost
Above $6.42Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
KalshiHow low will US diesel prices get in 2026?
KalshiUS Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Diesel Price on September 21, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA