KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Yes 99%
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 17, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
99%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will the S&P get this year?
KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketHow low will the S&P get this year?
KalshiAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiWill the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 17, 2026 is above 7552.25, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Open markets
EquitiesKALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,250 or above99%
- 29,230 or above99%
- 29,220 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $242.6K
- 24h Vol
- $239.7K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,600 or above99%
- 7,550 or above99%
- 7,560 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.3K
- 24h Vol
- $168.9K
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes96.5%
- No3.5%
- Total Vol
- $85.8K
- 24h Vol
- $85.3K
KALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $51,05099%
- At least $51,12599%
- At least $51,40099%
+54 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.3K
- 24h Vol
- $56.3K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.5pt73.2%
- Apple-0.6pt19.6%
- Alphabet7.2%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 17?
- $755+45.0pt99%
- $750+37.5pt99%
- $745+12.9pt99%
+8 more outcomes
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- S&P price range on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 Daily Up/Down?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 99% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 Daily Up/Down resolve?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 17, 2026 is above 7552.25, then the market resolves to Yes.