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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Corporate Actions
  3. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Corporate ActionsOne-OffBusiness & Corporate6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
SpaceX 82%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters

39

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 5, 26, 2:50 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Other
0%

Selected outcome

SpaceX82%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

0.5%6mo
SpaceX
SpaceX
+0.5%80%
xAI
xAI
26%
Anthropic
Anthropic
-1.1%15%

+71 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.3M
24h Vol$3.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

Resolves YES to the company that has the largest market cap by the closing market cap value on IPO day in 2026.

Manifold Markets

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

$56.8K
SpaceX: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$10.3K
↑$1.6T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

$1.4K
<$750B: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

$216.7
Yes: 17%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

$190.7
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,753.41+1.80%EthereumETH$1,656.01+1.16%SolanaSOL$65.09+0.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.07%XRPXRP$1.12-0.12%BNBBNB$597.04+1.44%

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Rules

Resolves YES to the company that has the largest market cap by the closing market cap value on IPO day in 2026.

Manifold Markets