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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
In 2028, will a commercial AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Resolves positively if there is an AI can learn to play randomly selected computer games (shooters, strategy games, flight simulators, etc) at the level of an amateur but not completely incompetent human player, given only a small amount of time (days, not years) for its programmers to connect it properly, and the opportunity to practice for arbitrary (but achievable) amounts of time.
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