Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Mar 10, 24, 10:57 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 9:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
A public and active attempt.
- Plans which are interrupted before the actual assassination attempt do not count.
- The attempt may not be made by a state actor