If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
AIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.1%
Forecasters
99
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 19, 23, 7:38 PM UTCDec 31, 98, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.
- Resolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out.
- Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet.
- I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.