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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. base
  3. If elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
Manifold Markets

If elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?

baseOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionAIPolitics1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
John Fetterman 15%
Forecasters

8

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale
Mar 19, 26, 9:08 PMJan 1, 28, 9:57 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

John Fetterman15%

Rules

Websites like votehub have "Trump alignment" scores showing how often a Democrat politician votes in line with Trump's coalition.

Manifold Markets
  • John Fetterman is currently the most Trump aligned Democrat senator, while Elizabeth Warren is among the least.
  • https://votehub.com/trump-score?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Elizabeth Warren has recently endorsed Graham Platner, much to the chagrin of the Democratic base on BlueSky who feel that Platner is not ideologically reliable.
  • https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/19/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-graham-platner-maine-schumer-senate.html
  • The question: If Graham Platner wins his US Senate race, will he vote more like Fetterman or Warren in terms of alignment with Trump? This will be determined using Votehub's analysis or a similar metric derived from a similar methodology.

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Rules

Websites like votehub have "Trump alignment" scores showing how often a Democrat politician votes in line with Trump's coalition.

Manifold Markets
  • John Fetterman is currently the most Trump aligned Democrat senator, while Elizabeth Warren is among the least.
  • https://votehub.com/trump-score?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Elizabeth Warren has recently endorsed Graham Platner, much to the chagrin of the Democratic base on BlueSky who feel that Platner is not ideologically reliable.
  • https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/19/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-graham-platner-maine-schumer-senate.html
  • The question: If Graham Platner wins his US Senate race, will he vote more like Fetterman or Warren in terms of alignment with Trump? This will be determined using Votehub's analysis or a similar metric derived from a similar methodology.