Current community forecast
2027 98.2%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 13, 24, 11:21 AMDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM
Trends
0%
Rules
[tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.
- Someone have any good suggestions? For now I've got this:
- If PPE or HALO is never launched, the date of that decision counts.
- If PPE and HALO are both launched, the date of the decision to never send humans there anymore counts.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Mqrius/before-when-will-sls-be-cancelled-Q00SAhqLc9)Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
- If Gateway is launched into any orbit around the moon (not just NRHO), it still counts as Gateway
Open markets
Dogecoin
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his GB News interview?
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
- King99%
- Hottest99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.9K
- 24h Vol
- $58.9K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Fraud+28.0pt99%
- Crypto / Bitcoin99%
- Kamala99%
+31 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $248.8K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWhat will Tesla say during the Cybercab Launch?
- Event does not qualify91%
- Flood / Flooding39%
- AI437%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $39.4K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- Tunnel to Towers-2.0pt84%
- NYPD / FDNY+3.0pt82%
- Venezuela+8.0pt53%
+27 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention?
- Democrat+1.0pt96%
- Fake News+2.0pt94%
- Hottest+2.0pt93%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat companies will Trump say in September?
- ExxonMobil / XOM+33.0pt99%
- Chevron / CVX+5.0pt99%
- Apple / AAPL99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.3K
- What will Trump say in September?
- What countries will Trump say in September?
- Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- What price will Dogecoin hit in September?
- When will Dogecoin hit $1?
- What will Google Cloud CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- How high will DOGE get in September?
- What will Figma CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- What will NVIDIA say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- What will Verizon CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned??
- Manifold Markets prices 2027 at 98% as of September 3, 2026.
- When does Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? resolve?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.