If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true??

Manifold Markets prices We could map the entirety of analytic philosophy using this question. at 93.9% as of October 20, 2026.

When does If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true? resolve?

If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.

How is If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Intended as a survey of individuals in Manifold about which, possibly controversial, propositions do you think are important to be included in a constitution designed to steer the general behavior of decentralized AI.

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KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 22.7%+3.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.8%+4.0pt98.5%
• Above 24.6%+5.0pt98%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$232.8K

24h Vol

$170.7K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+0.5pt24%
• 2028+1.0pt18%
• 2027-1.0pt9%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+1.5pt92%
• ↑$1.75T+0.5pt70%
• ↑$2.0T+6.0pt63%

+10 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.5pt51.4%
• Gemini37.5%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt8.8%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.5pt27.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.4pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.5pt15.4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+6.0pt79.8%
• Anthropic-5.0pt19.2%
• OpenAI+0.2pt1%

+18 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• OpenAI market share this week
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026