Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAppeal or other delay into 2027 52.1%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 3:31 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).
- In March 2024 the Victorian manor was rendered uninhabitable by fire (no one was injured) and the community began to dissolve.
- In June 2024 I signed a contract to sell the property for $1.6M, to close at the end of August 2024.
- In August the buyer did not close the deal.
- From September to November my agent and attorney repeatedly attempted to get them to close the deal, but they instead repeatedly demanded to change the terms of our agreement (different closing and payment timelines, interest payments, holdback amounts, division of responsibility, etc).
- I gave up on selling to them in November and started talking to other buyers.
Open markets
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+17.0pt65%
- Yes-17.0pt35%
- Total Vol
- $404K
- 24h Vol
- $15.4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Total Vol
- $578.5K
- 24h Vol
- $6.6K
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-6.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++1.5pt38.2%
- 20–40-0.9pt8.8%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 more outcomes
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Appeal or other delay into 2027 at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? resolve?
- How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).