Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAppeal or other delay into 2027 70%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 3:31 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).
- In March 2024 the Victorian manor was rendered uninhabitable by fire (no one was injured) and the community began to dissolve.
- In June 2024 I signed a contract to sell the property for $1.6M, to close at the end of August 2024.
- In August the buyer did not close the deal.
- From September to November my agent and attorney repeatedly attempted to get them to close the deal, but they instead repeatedly demanded to change the terms of our agreement (different closing and payment timelines, interest payments, holdback amounts, division of responsibility, etc).
- I gave up on selling to them in November and started talking to other buyers.
