Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastThey Will Never Actually Be Implemented 84.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
44
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 6:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
On 1/17, Trump announced new tariffs on Denmark and other EU countries with the apparent goal of reaching a deal to purchase Greenland.
- This market only concerns Greenland specific tariffs, not pre-existing EU tariffs.
- Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the peak tariff rate falls between two answer choices (e.g., 17.5% when choices are 10% and 25%), the market will resolve split proportionally between those two choices (e.g., 50/50 for a rate exactly halfway between).