How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?
One-OffCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2027 26.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 24, 4:16 AM UTCMar 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
For each of the following years, I commit to spending at least $100 to fund a collaborative review by debaters and credible judges (with specific rules/mechanism tbd - open to suggestions) to give an estimate of the proportion of US criminal trials which ended in jury nullification that year.
- This market resolves to the proportion determined by the review.