Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2,500,000 - 2,600,000 29.8%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 25, 6:10 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:04 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
