Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.3%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Feb 12, 26, 6:31 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/Putcallparity/will-there-be-a-unicorn-founded-and
- Note that human board members, founders (if not employed or involved in operations), or investors are still allowed for a 'YES' resolution here.
- But no humans can be employed by the company.
- The focus in resolving this will not be on fine legal distinctions between 'contractor' and 'employee', but on the involvement of human labor in the day to day operations of the company.
- If the full time involvement of human contractors is required, or if an unpaid human founder is involved in operations on a daily basis in order to increase the value of their equity, this would resolve as 'NO'.
