By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
AI8yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBy end of 2035 70.6%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 26, 9:31 AM UTCDec 31, 34, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria:
- This question resolves to the year in which the trailing four-month average reaches ≥5% of Americans giving answers classified as "advancement of computers/technology" to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?
- Resolution is based on the monthly updated Gallup website.
- On this website, "-" means 0% and "*" means <0.5%.
- For the purpose of this question, we will interpret "*" as 0.25%.
- If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.
