Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 3:31 PM UTCDec 31, 34, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035.
- For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body.
- A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records.
- If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? resolve?
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.
- How is before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria