Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US??

Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US? resolve?

Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a question about Trump attempting to avoid trial or imprisonment in the US.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+1.5pt96%
• 25 bps increase-2.1pt4%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$84.3M

24h Vol

$9.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.5pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.5pt90.8%
• Republican Party-0.1pt9.5%

Total Vol

$75.5M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt65.5%
• Ken Paxton34.5%

Total Vol

$45.7M

24h Vol

$1.9M

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

• Deport / Deported / Deportation+81.0pt99.5%
• Save America Act+4.0pt99.5%
• Sanctuary+9.0pt

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep64.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.4M

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