Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 52.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 31, 24, 9:28 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
KalshiWill the FDA approve a psychedelic-assisted therapy for a mental disorder by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIs Semen Retention Good for You?
Manifold MarketsWill a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Such as Ayahuasca, DMT, LSD, Mescaline, Psilocybin, etc.
- Is Nicotine Good for You?
- Is Caffeine Good for You?
- Is Fasting Good for You?
- Is Semen Retention Good for You?
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $23.2K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.1K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You? resolve?
- Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Such as Ayahuasca, DMT, LSD, Mescaline, Psilocybin, etc.