Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast$40B to $60B 21.8%+5.2ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.2 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 2:20 PMFeb 29, 28, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Anthropic made $11.5B in revenue in Q2 2026 (preliminary figures), and had a run rate of $65B/year (~$5.4B per month, or ~$16.2B per quarter) as of July 2026.
- As of August 2026, they reportedly forecast around $200 billion in revenue for 2028.
- How much revenue will Anthropic make in Q4 2027? If Anthropic reports GAAP revenue for a fiscal quarter running from October 1 to December 31, 2027, this resolves to that revenue amount, per official earnings releases or regulatory filings.
- Left bounds inclusive, right bounds exclusive.
Open markets
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $298.6K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97.5%
- $61,000 or above97%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $168.1K
- 24h Vol
- $152.7K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue?
- Manifold Markets prices $40B to $60B at 22% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue resolve?
- Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue is scheduled to resolve on February 29, 2028.
- How is Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Anthropic made $11.5B in revenue in Q2 2026 (preliminary figures), and had a run rate of $65B/year (~$5.4B per month, or ~$16.2B per quarter) as of July 2026.