Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55%
Forecasters
329
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 20, 25, 2:37 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030
- [tweet]Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 55% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? resolve?
- Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030
