Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 26, 11:17 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030
- If OpenAI is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- Inspired by @/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030 credit @Bayesian
