Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 76.8%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingNov 27, 25, 2:04 PM UTCMay 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Similar to https://manifold.markets/StephenMcAleese/will-an-ai-model-achieve-superhuman
- This market will be resolved as YES if any AI lab announces that their model has achieved a higher ELO than any human on the Codeforces leaderboard at the time of the model's release.
