KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 300T tokens 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$10.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
KalshiHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan?
Manifold MarketsWill users be able to donate unused AI-token allowances to open-source projects by 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the OpenRouter AI token usage for September 2026 (measured August 31 - September 27) is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the value for the seven UTC calendar days from September 2026 (measured August 31 - September 27), as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 28, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, “token usage” means the token usage included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not represent total AI token usage across all providers or platforms.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.0pt56.5%
- 2027+3.5pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Total Vol
- $261.2K
- 24h Vol
- $186.6K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $401K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt23.8%
- Grok-2.6pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-8.0pt63%
- 1490+-8.5pt54%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenRouter AI token usage in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 300T tokens at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does OpenRouter AI token usage in September resolve?
- OpenRouter AI token usage in September is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is OpenRouter AI token usage in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenRouter AI token usage for September 2026 (measured August 31 - September 27) is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.