KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 23.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 23.0% 79.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 23.0% 79.5%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$98
Open interest
$98
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 23.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Nov 8, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 13, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 23.0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Open source share of spend on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)
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KalshiMoonshot AI share of spend on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 23.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 23.0%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 23.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24.8%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 24.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27.0%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 27.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30.4%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 30.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32.0%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 32.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 33.6%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 33.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35.7%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 35.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 37.9%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 37.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.5%
- If the Open source share of spend for Nov 12, 2026 is above 39.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
