KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 8% 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiGoogle share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiNext Claude Opus released on?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 22, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+43.5pt67.9%
- September 24+1.0pt12.3%
- September 23+0.9pt6.6%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $251K
- 24h Vol
- $205.2K
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-2.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-1.0pt18%
- Donald Trump10%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.2pt69.9%
- ChatGPT+0.8pt14.6%
- Gemini-0.8pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8M
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.1pt98%
- Google-0.3pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic-1.0pt69.6%
- OpenAI+3.5pt12.8%
- Google-3.0pt9.8%
+12 more outcomes
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 8% at 99% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.