KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 5:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 13% 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiGoogle share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiNext Claude Opus released on?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 22, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+43.5pt67.9%
- September 24+1.0pt12.3%
- September 23+0.9pt6.6%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $251K
- 24h Vol
- $205.2K
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-2.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-1.0pt18%
- Donald Trump10%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.2pt69.9%
- ChatGPT+0.8pt14.6%
- Gemini-0.8pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8M
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.1pt98%
- Google-0.3pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic-1.0pt69.6%
- OpenAI+3.5pt12.8%
- Google-3.0pt9.8%
+12 more outcomes
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 13% at 0% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Anthropic share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- Anthropic share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Anthropic share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.