KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 55.5% · —
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Stored price
Above 65.2% 60.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 65.2% 60.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$102
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 55.5%Spread
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Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 55.5%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 5, 2026
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KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 8, 2026
KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 9, 2026
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Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 65.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 8, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 55.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 55.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 61.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 61.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 65.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 57.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 57.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.3%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 64.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 67.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 70.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 71.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 71.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 73.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 7, 2026 is above 73.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
