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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

AIOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.9

Liquidity

$57.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.4% / 6.5%

Spread

1.6%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Mar 13, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

If legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot or other AI system impersonating certain licensed professionals has become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods.
  • For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods.
  • For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes.
  • For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness.

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Rules

If legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot or other AI system impersonating certain licensed professionals has become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods.
  • For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods.
  • For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes.
  • For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness.