KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 4.4% · —
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Stored price
Above 8.5% 50.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 8.5% 50.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$208
Open interest
$104
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 4.4%Spread
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Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 17, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 4.4%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiOpenAI share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel)
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PolymarketKimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by which date?
LimitlessRules
If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 16, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 4.4%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 4.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.5%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.4%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 9.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.5%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 10.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.7%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 11.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.3%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 13.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15.0%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 15.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.6%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 17.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.