KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 142.5 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 4:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 119.599%
Above 142.599%
Above 150.57%
Above 142.5Won
Above 119.5Lost
Above 110Lost
Above 135Lost
Above 127.5Lost
Above 150.5Lost
Above 96.5Lost
Above 160.5Lost
Above 173.5Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Eli Lilly Credit Card Spend in October
KalshiTaylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
PolymarketHow many people will attend our 21st monthly NYC dinner?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Carbon Arc Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.