Before 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 93.3%
No 93.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsNBC
- Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.