PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$993.7
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
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NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 10:01 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Announces Diesel Export ban by which date?
PolymarketDiesel export ban before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China extend its Ga/Ge/Sb export-ban suspension for the US past Nov 27, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
PolymarketUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?
PolymarketDiesel prices this week
KalshiRules
In 2026, the Government of the Russian Federation imposed a temporary ban on exports of diesel fuel by fuel producers, which has since been extended several times, most recently through October 31, 2026.
- On October 10, 2026, the government partially lifted the ban, permitting Russian fuel producers to export up to 500,000 tons of diesel fuel (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-10/russia-lifts-ban-on-diesel-exports-as-part-of-trump-putin-deal).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of the Russian Federation issues a decree, resolution, or equivalent official action revoking, suspending, or terminating the October 10, 2026 relief permitting fuel producers to export diesel fuel, or otherwise reinstating a full prohibition on exports of diesel fuel by Russian fuel producers, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- Actions that only reduce the permitted export volume or restrict the permitted destinations will not qualify unless they prohibit Russian fuel producers from exporting diesel fuel altogether.
- The exhaustion of the permitted 500,000-ton export volume will not qualify.