KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 4.3 billion gallons · —
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Stored price
Above 4.6 billion gallons 48%Market line of 8 lines
Above 4.6 billion gallons 48%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Open interest
$27.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 4.3 billion gallonsSpread
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Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 4.3 billion gallons
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.6 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Iowa Renewable Fuels Association
- The Underlying is the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association’s reported Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026, measured in gallons.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 4.3 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.3 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.4 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.4 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.5 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.6 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.6 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.7 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.7 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.8 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.8 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.9 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.9 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0 billion gallons
- If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 5.0 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes.