How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
One-OffHealth & Medicine3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
250 or more 76%Leader of 4 outcomes
250 or more 76%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$324.9
Open interest
$246.8
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 10:45 PM UTCJan 24, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 250, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CDC
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 31). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
Rules for each outcome
- 250 or more
- If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 250, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 500 or more
- If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 750 or more
- If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 750, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1k or more
- If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.